The Crypto Event Market Track Record (2020-2026)
Polymarket priced BTC at $100K when analysts said $75K. ETF approval at 80% before SEC ruled. 5 years of crypto event markets beating Wall Street.
เลือกตั้งกลางเทอมสหรัฐ 2026 — ทำไมคนไทยต้องสนใจ
Polymarket ให้ Democrat 81% ชนะ House, Republican 56% รักษา Senate ผลกระทบบาท SET ดอกเบี้ย 4 race ที่ตัดสิน
What Polymarket Already Knows About the 2026 US Midterms
Democrats 81% for the House. Republicans 56% for the Senate. $15.9M traded. The 4 races that decide it, and why it matters for emerging markets.
The June 2026 FOMC Recap: What the Markets Got Right (And Where They Were Surprised)
Held at 3.50-3.75% unanimously. Dot plot flipped from cuts to hikes. Polymarket priced 'zero cuts' at 79.8% before the meeting. Warsh's first signal.
The 5 Predictions That Made or Cost Traders the Most in H1 2026
Fed pivot from cuts to hikes. Bitcoin half-right. Recession that didn't arrive. The midterm market call. Iran oil spike. The 5 trades that defined H1 2026.
Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold สำหรับคนไทย — เปรียบเทียบ และ Juno เข้ามาแก้อะไร
Polymarket ใช้ในไทยได้ แต่ขั้นตอนเยอะ Kalshi คนไทยใช้ไม่ได้ Manifold เงินจำลอง คำถามที่สำคัญสำหรับคนไทย แพลตฟอร์มไหนตอบได้
Kalshi vs Polymarket vs Manifold: Which Prediction Market Should You Actually Use?
Polymarket: $9B volume, crypto, no US. Kalshi: regulated, US-only, on Robinhood. Manifold: 100k+ markets, play money. The honest buyer's guide.
What the Markets Say About a 2026 Recession (Spoiler: They Disagree)
Polymarket: 18%. Kalshi: 21%. Conference Board: 36%. Yield curve: re-inverted last week. Five answers to one question. Which one to trust.
The 2026 Forecasts That Got It Right (And Wrong) at the Halfway Mark
S&P at 6,089 vs consensus 6,634. Recession that didn't arrive. The Fed cut path that's late. A mid-year scoreboard nobody publishes.